New error bounds for Laplace approximation via Stein’s method

Department of Mathematics, The University of Manchester, Oxford Road, Manchester M13 9PL, UK.

^* Corresponding author: robert.gaunt@manchester.ac.uk

Received: 4 October 2020
Accepted: 28 June 2021

Abstract

We use Stein’s method to obtain explicit bounds on the rate of convergence for the Laplace approximation of two different sums of independent random variables; one being a random sum of mean zero random variables and the other being a deterministic sum of mean zero random variables in which the normalisation sequence is random. We make technical advances to the framework of Pike and Ren [ALEA Lat. Am. J. Probab. Math. Stat. 11 (2014) 571–587] for Stein’s method for Laplace approximation, which allows us to give bounds in the Kolmogorov and Wasserstein metrics. Under the additional assumption of vanishing third moments, we obtain faster convergence rates in smooth test function metrics. As part of the derivation of our bounds for the Laplace approximation for the deterministic sum, we obtain new bounds for the solution, and its first two derivatives, of the Rayleigh Stein equation.